BMKG's latest forecast for April 5 indicates maximum temperatures of 29–30°C across Jakarta districts amid light rain, thunderstorms in southern and eastern areas, and high humidity (72–97%), capping solar heating potential. Yet trader consensus prices 32°C (38%) slightly ahead of 31°C (36%), reflecting recent actual highs surpassing guidance—such as April 4's implied 33°C peak—and persistent urban heat island amplification in official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and timing of convective showers, which could limit peaks to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 32°C amid the early dry season onset. New observational data post-midday will refine model consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 5?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 5?
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
37%
32°C
39%
33°C
12%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
37%
32°C
39%
33°C
12%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast for April 5 indicates maximum temperatures of 29–30°C across Jakarta districts amid light rain, thunderstorms in southern and eastern areas, and high humidity (72–97%), capping solar heating potential. Yet trader consensus prices 32°C (38%) slightly ahead of 31°C (36%), reflecting recent actual highs surpassing guidance—such as April 4's implied 33°C peak—and persistent urban heat island amplification in official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability and timing of convective showers, which could limit peaks to 31°C or allow brief clearing for 32°C amid the early dry season onset. New observational data post-midday will refine model consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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