Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 82-83°F as Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, driven by official observations from the National Weather Service's Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) station via Weather Underground, confirming this peak under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-15 mph. National Weather Service forecasts accurately predicted highs near 82°F amid a warming trend following cooler air on March 28 (high 56-57°F), aligning with above-normal March climatological averages of 73-74°F influenced by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. While automated surface observing system (ASOS) data provides robust verification, rare scenarios like post hoc quality control revisions or station discrepancies could theoretically challenge resolution, though trader sentiment dismisses such low-probability events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 29?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 29?
82-83°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$143,660 Vol.
$143,660 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$143,660 Vol.
$143,660 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 82-83°F as Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, driven by official observations from the National Weather Service's Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) station via Weather Underground, confirming this peak under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-15 mph. National Weather Service forecasts accurately predicted highs near 82°F amid a warming trend following cooler air on March 28 (high 56-57°F), aligning with above-normal March climatological averages of 73-74°F influenced by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. While automated surface observing system (ASOS) data provides robust verification, rare scenarios like post hoc quality control revisions or station discrepancies could theoretically challenge resolution, though trader sentiment dismisses such low-probability events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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