Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Dallas at 70-71°F (29% implied probability) as most likely, closely trailed by 72-73°F and 74-75°F at 24% each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a 70°F daytime high on April 4 amid morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning from widespread overnight precipitation. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity from an approaching system suppress daytime heating below the early-April climatological normal of 76°F, with south winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection. Differentiation hinges on the timing of shower clearance—earlier breaks could allow mid-afternoon peaks near 74°F, while prolonged overcast or heavier rain caps at 70°F—per model blends like GFS and ECMWF. New hourly updates and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Dallas stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 32.9%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 9.2%
$25,374 Vol.
$25,374 Vol.
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 32.9%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 9.2%
$25,374 Vol.
$25,374 Vol.
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Dallas at 70-71°F (29% implied probability) as most likely, closely trailed by 72-73°F and 74-75°F at 24% each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a 70°F daytime high on April 4 amid morning showers and thunderstorms transitioning from widespread overnight precipitation. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity from an approaching system suppress daytime heating below the early-April climatological normal of 76°F, with south winds around 10 mph providing modest warm advection. Differentiation hinges on the timing of shower clearance—earlier breaks could allow mid-afternoon peaks near 74°F, while prolonged overcast or heavier rain caps at 70°F—per model blends like GFS and ECMWF. New hourly updates and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution at official Dallas stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions