Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on TimeandDate project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 3 at 25–27°C, with trader consensus centering on 26°C at 34.5% implied probability amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud evolution from partly cloudy to clearer skies. Current conditions show mild 19°C with passing clouds, above the early April climatological average of 20–22°C highs, boosted by weak southerly flows and high pressure ridging. Key variables tipping outcomes include morning shower potential reducing insolation for lower temps (24–25°C) or sustained sunshine enabling 27°C peaks; urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport station add variability. New hourly guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
26°C 34%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 16%
$17,920 Vol.
$17,920 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
16%
25°C
22%
26°C
34%
27°C
21%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 16%
$17,920 Vol.
$17,920 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,119 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,193 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,980 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,111 Vol.
16%
25°C
$1,620 Vol.
22%
26°C
$988 Vol.
34%
27°C
$993 Vol.
21%
28°C
$886 Vol.
6%
29°C
$852 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$777 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on TimeandDate project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 3 at 25–27°C, with trader consensus centering on 26°C at 34.5% implied probability amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud evolution from partly cloudy to clearer skies. Current conditions show mild 19°C with passing clouds, above the early April climatological average of 20–22°C highs, boosted by weak southerly flows and high pressure ridging. Key variables tipping outcomes include morning shower potential reducing insolation for lower temps (24–25°C) or sustained sunshine enabling 27°C peaks; urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport station add variability. New hourly guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volume
$17,920End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on TimeandDate project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 3 at 25–27°C, with trader consensus centering on 26°C at 34.5% implied probability amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud evolution from partly cloudy to clearer skies. Current conditions show mild 19°C with passing clouds, above the early April climatological average of 20–22°C highs, boosted by weak southerly flows and high pressure ridging. Key variables tipping outcomes include morning shower potential reducing insolation for lower temps (24–25°C) or sustained sunshine enabling 27°C peaks; urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport station add variability. New hourly guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,920End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on TimeandDate project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 3 at 25–27°C, with trader consensus centering on 26°C at 34.5% implied probability amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud evolution from partly cloudy to clearer skies. Current conditions show mild 19°C with passing clouds, above the early April climatological average of 20–22°C highs, boosted by weak southerly flows and high pressure ridging. Key variables tipping outcomes include morning shower potential reducing insolation for lower temps (24–25°C) or sustained sunshine enabling 27°C peaks; urban heat island effects at Shuangliu Airport station add variability. New hourly guidance expected overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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