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Highest grossing movie in 2025?

$1,586,634 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Zootopia 2 33.6%

Jurassic World: Rebirth 32%

Avatar 3 10%

Superman 7.5%

FebMar0%10%20%30%40%50%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Volume

$1,586,634

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Comments (58)
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Astaghfirallah

Astaghfirallah

26d ago

Given the historical performance of its predecessors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that “Avatar: Fire and Ash” will achieve substantial box office earnings within the 2025 calendar year, despite its late December release. The franchise’s established pattern suggests that a significant portion of its revenue is generated in the initial weeks post-release. Considering the previous films’ trajectories, “Avatar: Fire and Ash” could potentially amass between $250 million to $300 million domestically by December 31, 2025. Avatar: The Way of Water (Release Date: December 16, 2022) December 16 (Friday): $53.2 million December 17 (Saturday): $43.4 million December 18 (Sunday): $37.5 million December 19 (Monday): $23.2 million December 20 (Tuesday): $20.6 million December 21 (Wednesday): $18.7 million December 22 (Thursday): $22.0 million December 23 (Friday): $24.4 million December 24 (Saturday): $24.6 million December 25 (Sunday): $22.0 million December 26 (Monday): $17.4 million December 27 (Tuesday): $16.6 million December 28 (Wednesday): $14.6 million December 29 (Thursday): $20.0 million December 30 (Friday): $17.6 million December 31 (Saturday): $20.0 million January 1, 2023 (Sunday): $16.5 million Total from Dec 16, 2022, to Jan 1, 2023: Approximately $372.3 million vs zootopia’s 270m during first 35 days

mase03

mase03

22d ago

Wicked (pt 1) made $411m in its first 35 days of box office...

Astaghfirallah

Astaghfirallah

20d ago

@mase03

Just bought some!

KanyeTruther

guys all of these movies are using US domestic numbers, it would make no sense to have a Chinese movie here no matter how much money it makes in China

APIEPO

26d ago

where is nezha2

Ne Zha 2 is 100% the biggest movie but isn't even an option??

should have had "other" as an option

Astaghfirallah

Astaghfirallah

29d ago

The previous Avatar films are among the highest-grossing of all time. If it releases on schedule and reviews are decent, it’s hard to bet against James Cameron’s track record of multi-billion-dollar earnings.

ShaiX0205

30d ago

It shouldn't be none of them, it could be China's Nezha

mase03

mase03

30d ago

Wtf is Captain America "New World Order" LOL

heroic

1mo ago

I'm no BO predictor but I've been watching Jurassic movies recently, so why not

rhinez0r

1mo ago

Wow easy money on Minecraft. SMB made 1.3b gross, Minecraft arguably more popular. It's gonna absolutely dominate

Ania-chan

Ania-chan

1mo ago

Avatar 3 maybe winner this year

Ania-chan

Ania-chan

1mo ago

ah wait impossible it is release in 19/12 F

Astaghfirallah

Astaghfirallah

29d ago

@Ania-chan

Given the historical performance of its predecessors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that “Avatar: Fire and Ash” will achieve substantial box office earnings within the 2025 calendar year, despite its late December release. The franchise’s established pattern suggests that a significant portion of its revenue is generated in the initial weeks post-release. Considering the previous films’ trajectories, “Avatar: Fire and Ash” could potentially amass between $250 million to $300 million domestically by December 31, 2025. Avatar: The Way of Water (Release Date: December 16, 2022) December 16 (Friday): $53.2 million December 17 (Saturday): $43.4 million December 18 (Sunday): $37.5 million December 19 (Monday): $23.2 million December 20 (Tuesday): $20.6 million December 21 (Wednesday): $18.7 million December 22 (Thursday): $22.0 million December 23 (Friday): $24.4 million December 24 (Saturday): $24.6 million December 25 (Sunday): $22.0 million December 26 (Monday): $17.4 million December 27 (Tuesday): $16.6 million December 28 (Wednesday): $14.6 million December 29 (Thursday): $20.0 million December 30 (Friday): $17.6 million December 31 (Saturday): $20.0 million January 1, 2023 (Sunday): $16.5 million Total from Dec 16, 2022, to Jan 1, 2023: Approximately $372.3 million

0x2811c84e6b4bEC...

2mo ago

No way Minecraft doesn’t go to at least 20% when its released.

Aneurysm

2mo ago

If you have kids you know the answer is Minecraft.

rhinez0r

1mo ago

100%

EvergreenPlum

2mo ago

Avatar 3 release date is Dec 19, so it will have just 13 days of 2025 box office sales. On average, ~64% of a movie’s total Domestic Gross occurs within the first 2 weeks. Even if A3 surpasses Endgame to become the highest grossing movie ever (unlikely), it will not make enough money in those 13 days before this market closes by Jan 1.

Cognisant

Cognisant

2mo ago

Minecraft Movie, it will be utter garbage but kids have a high tolerance for garbage and the Millennials will hate watch it because we love pissing on a dumpster fire.

Avatar 3 will lose bc it's gonna be 6 hours long 💀

Fore

2mo ago

Never bet against rich furries.

retard2

2mo ago

they gonna be deported or put into camps before the year is over

MMBear

MMBear

2mo ago

can someone explain why one would buy this early?

YouAreNotYourJob

YouAreNotYourJob

2mo ago

Odds

CineMa

2mo ago

Wicked made 432 mildomestic until Dec 31. The last Jurassic World made 376 mil in total domestic. Zootopia made 341 mil in total domestic. Wicked 2 will perform on the same level than Wicked and will make approx ~380-420 mil and is therefore highly undervalued here

EvergreenPlum

2mo ago

You should be comparing Z2 to Inside Out 2, not Zootopia. IO1 grossed $356M; IO2 $652M. Z1 grossed $341M. Z2 is an important product for the Disney machine (theme park & merch), so they will spend $$$ in marketing.

DFK

DFK

2mo ago

Do people realize that Avatar III release date is December 19? If you really think it will break the bank, then wait for 2026's market ffs.

DFK

DFK

2mo ago

I guess they don't.

Zootopia and Jurassic World will underperform

NewHere

2mo ago

What happens if non of the movies listed is number one?

CineMa

2mo ago

Avatar 2 made 338m domestic during the first 13 days (and it started during World Cup Qatar). Zootopia needed 99 days in cinemas for 338m domestic. Go check the facts on boxofficemojo, Avatar 3 is highly undervalued here

Is this domestic or global, and is it as of Dec 31st 2025 or total theatrical run?

trialseed

trialseed

2mo ago

Domestic gross at the end of 12/31/2025

Japan

Japan

2mo ago

Here we go again fellas!

caukdC

2mo ago

where is the other market?

PadreMaronno

Polymarket will scam people just like on chess blitz finals

Qwertyking

2mo ago

Avatar 3 will only run for 13 days in 2025 (release is 19th Dec), so some other will be top 1.

Ania-chan

Ania-chan

2mo ago

Easy avatar 3

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The Fantastic Four: First Steps

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