Recent U.S. inflation data showing a rise to 3.8% in April, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a rebounding dollar, have tempered near-term gold upside and created a tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 settlement ranges. Persistent central bank purchases averaging hundreds of tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continue to underpin demand, yet the absence of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts has prompted short-term positioning adjustments. With June futures currently near $4,540, traders are closely watching upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for signals on whether monetary policy easing returns or further energy-driven price pressures dominate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,600-$5,000 30%
$4,200-$4,600 29.7%
$3,800-$4,200 14.5%
$5,000-$5,400 11.4%
$950,960 Vol.
$950,960 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
30%
$4,600-$5,000
30%
$5,000-$5,400
11%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
$4,600-$5,000 30%
$4,200-$4,600 29.7%
$3,800-$4,200 14.5%
$5,000-$5,400 11.4%
$950,960 Vol.
$950,960 Vol.
<$3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
30%
$4,600-$5,000
30%
$5,000-$5,400
11%
$5,400-$5,800
8%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. inflation data showing a rise to 3.8% in April, fueled by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, combined with a rebounding dollar, have tempered near-term gold upside and created a tight contest between the $4,200–$4,600 and $4,600–$5,000 settlement ranges. Persistent central bank purchases averaging hundreds of tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty continue to underpin demand, yet the absence of expected Federal Reserve rate cuts has prompted short-term positioning adjustments. With June futures currently near $4,540, traders are closely watching upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for signals on whether monetary policy easing returns or further energy-driven price pressures dominate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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