Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects bullish sentiment for Gold (GC) futures surpassing $2,350/oz by June end, driven primarily by escalating Fed rate cut odds—now at 60% for September per CME FedWatch—following softer May CPI data that eased inflation fears and weakened the USD index to 104.5. Spot gold holds near $2,330/oz after testing $2,450 highs in May, supported by central bank buying (e.g., China's 2.5Moz reserves) and Middle East tensions hedging risks. Key catalysts include this week's FOMC dot plot and June 12 CPI release; a hawkish surprise could cap gains at $2,300 support amid elevated volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
$2,061,244 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
32%
↓ $4,200
54%
↓ $3,800
15%
↓ $3,400
7%
$2,061,244 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
32%
↓ $4,200
54%
↓ $3,800
15%
↓ $3,400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects bullish sentiment for Gold (GC) futures surpassing $2,350/oz by June end, driven primarily by escalating Fed rate cut odds—now at 60% for September per CME FedWatch—following softer May CPI data that eased inflation fears and weakened the USD index to 104.5. Spot gold holds near $2,330/oz after testing $2,450 highs in May, supported by central bank buying (e.g., China's 2.5Moz reserves) and Middle East tensions hedging risks. Key catalysts include this week's FOMC dot plot and June 12 CPI release; a hawkish surprise could cap gains at $2,300 support amid elevated volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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