Name: Fed rate hike in 2025?
Start: 2024-12-29T22:50:44.013518Z
End: 2025-12-10T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2025 and the Fed's December 2025 meeting, currently scheduled for December 9-10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate changes information following its December meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fed rate hike in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. 

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

This market will resolve to the total number of gifts delivered by Santa for Christmas 2025 as reported by the NORAD Santa Tracker website. 

If the reported total number of gifts delivered falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as data is finalized for 2025.

If data is not available by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the NORAD Tracks Santa website, https://www.noradsanta.org/en/.

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Market Context

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Rules

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Market Context

Fed rate hike in 2025?

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