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"Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office

Market icon

"Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office

115-125m 100.0%

<115m <1%

125-135m <1%

135-145m <1%

Polymarket

$1,722,439 Vol.

115-125m 100.0%

<115m <1%

125-135m <1%

135-145m <1%

Polymarket

$1,722,439 Vol.

<115m

$380,446 Vol.

No

115-125m

$207,994 Vol.

Yes

125-135m

$259,786 Vol.

No

135-145m

$394,266 Vol.

No

>145m

$479,946 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,722,439
End Date
Jul 28, 2025
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,722,439
End Date
Jul 28, 2025
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to how much “Fantastic Four: The First Steps” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - July 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

""Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "115-125m" at 100%, followed by "<115m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office" is "115-125m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<115m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.