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icon for Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

icon for Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$18,333 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$18,333 Vol.

On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.

On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections.

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.
Volume
$18,333
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2024, 6:41 PM ET
On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.

On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections.

This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.
Volume
$18,333
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Sep 15, 2024, 6:41 PM ET
On September 15, there was an incident in which a suspect was detained in connection to shots fired at Trump's golf course. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the September 15th shooter at Trump's golf course was a foreign actor—namely, someone acting under the direction or sponsorship of a foreign government or organization. This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that the shooter was not a foreign actor and had no foreign connections. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the U.S. Secret Service or FBI confirming whether the shooter was a foreign actor. If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the Secret Service and FBI believe was most likely - if they have not indicated the suspect was a foreign actor, the market would resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, with priority given to official statements from the U.S. Secret Service and FBI.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.