Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$492,177 Vol.
$492,177 Vol.
May 22, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
Yes
200+ 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$492,177 Vol.
$492,177 Vol.
May 22, 2026
<20
$7,853 Vol.
No
20-39
$1,112 Vol.
No
40-59
$1,910 Vol.
No
60-79
$57,917 Vol.
No
80-99
$74,588 Vol.
No
100-119
$77,695 Vol.
No
120-139
$42,910 Vol.
No
140-159
$22,732 Vol.
No
160-179
$30,659 Vol.
No
180-199
$47,201 Vol.
No
200+
$127,601 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$492,177End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$492,177End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Donald Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 15-22 window. As president he has averaged roughly 19 posts per day in 2026, surpassing 2,700 total posts this year, often featuring late-night bursts, graphics, videos, and AI-assisted content on policy, primaries, and international developments. This sustained output, frequently exceeding 20 posts on active days, underpins the market’s near-certain assessment of 200-plus posts. A sharp drop in activity from an unusually light schedule or external constraints remains the primary low-probability scenario that could still shift the final tally before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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