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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.9%

France 14.3%

Denmark 10.0%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$54,923,538 Vol.

Finland 35.9%

France 14.3%

Denmark 10.0%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$54,923,538 Vol.

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Finland

$1,876,174 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,435,467 Vol.

14%

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Denmark

$968,133 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,212,590 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,330,197 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,253,068 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$953,841 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,141,936 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,549,073 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$914,910 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$821,093 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,130,257 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,034,854 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,121,777 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$901,377 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,034,655 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$952,119 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,258,775 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,203,208 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,310,637 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,310,925 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$718,222 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$1,936,143 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,158,748 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,234,570 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,644,836 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,208,736 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,431,913 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,194,242 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,570,669 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,301,050 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,798,137 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$2,006,055 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$819,261 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,189,249 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" leads at 35.9% implied probability after their commanding UMK win on February 28, securing top jury scores and massive televote energy that has ignited fan polls, Spotify streams, and bookie consensus for broad appeal in Vienna. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 14.3%, favored for jury votes with the emotive French-language "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," selected via Dansk Melodi Grand Prix on February 14, holds 10% on strong national final momentum. With all 35 entries released and pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert underway, trader sentiment weighs streaming data and diaspora potential against jury-televote divides in this wide-open field six weeks from the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,923,538
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" leads at 35.9% implied probability after their commanding UMK win on February 28, securing top jury scores and massive televote energy that has ignited fan polls, Spotify streams, and bookie consensus for broad appeal in Vienna. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 14.3%, favored for jury votes with the emotive French-language "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," selected via Dansk Melodi Grand Prix on February 14, holds 10% on strong national final momentum. With all 35 entries released and pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert underway, trader sentiment weighs streaming data and diaspora potential against jury-televote divides in this wide-open field six weeks from the May 16 final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,923,538
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $54.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.