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Eurovision Winner 2026

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Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.4%

France 13.3%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$53,146,184 Vol.

Finland 36.4%

France 13.3%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$53,146,184 Vol.

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Finland

$1,854,071 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,408,720 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$933,453 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,194,324 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,312,029 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,227,254 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$938,684 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,112,390 Vol.

2%

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Italy

$1,517,040 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$893,504 Vol.

2%

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Czechia

$808,942 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,119,037 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,022,603 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,112,497 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$945,484 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$887,501 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,021,713 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,256,733 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,293,095 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,214,447 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$716,037 Vol.

1%

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Poland

$1,972,751 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,038,788 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,136,543 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,543,278 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$2,125,764 Vol.

<1%

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Moldova

$1,144,451 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,110,304 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,343,193 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,100,170 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,482,321 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,214,777 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,623,391 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,710,701 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$810,980 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 36.4% implied probability following Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's commanding UMK win on February 28 with "Liekinheitin," a violin-fueled pop-rock anthem securing unanimous jury acclaim and televote surge potential akin to past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Early OGAE fan votes and betting surges underscore its broad appeal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final. France's Monroe trails at 13.3% with the punchy "Look!," buoyed by strong precursor support, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard rises to 10.2% on "Før vi går hjem"'s recent momentum from national selection buzz. Rehearsals, running orders, and diaspora televotes remain key wildcards in this 40-country field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$53,146,184
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 36.4% implied probability following Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's commanding UMK win on February 28 with "Liekinheitin," a violin-fueled pop-rock anthem securing unanimous jury acclaim and televote surge potential akin to past Nordic hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Early OGAE fan votes and betting surges underscore its broad appeal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final. France's Monroe trails at 13.3% with the punchy "Look!," buoyed by strong precursor support, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard rises to 10.2% on "Før vi går hjem"'s recent momentum from national selection buzz. Rehearsals, running orders, and diaspora televotes remain key wildcards in this 40-country field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$53,146,184
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $53.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.