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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 38.9%

France 11.3%

Denmark 10.6%

Australia 6.9%

Polymarket

$68,153,946 Vol.

Finland 38.9%

France 11.3%

Denmark 10.6%

Australia 6.9%

Polymarket

$68,153,946 Vol.

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Finland

$2,090,894 Vol.

39%

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France

$1,535,503 Vol.

11%

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Denmark

$1,062,031 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,321,368 Vol.

7%

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Greece

$1,450,830 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,339,291 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$1,050,631 Vol.

3%

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Romania

$1,046,344 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,649,521 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,230,021 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,196,879 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$867,853 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,089,009 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,182,163 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,400,401 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$1,058,109 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,095,428 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,575,457 Vol.

1%

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Lithuania

$2,022,568 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,538,341 Vol.

<1%

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Germany

$1,062,665 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$1,554,828 Vol.

<1%

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Switzerland

$2,564,070 Vol.

<1%

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United Kingdom

$806,444 Vol.

<1%

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Albania

$2,909,146 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,929,527 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$3,032,388 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$3,668,497 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$3,047,578 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$3,168,391 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$3,642,014 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$3,073,883 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,943,749 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$3,499,457 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$3,453,115 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a fusion of rock, classical violin, and dance—dominates trader consensus at 38.9% implied probability following its landslide UMK national final win in early March, scoring nearly triple the runner-up's points and propelling it to unanimous bookie frontrunner status. France's Monroe with "Regarde" surges to 11.3% on heavy betting volume, bolstered by Big Five auto-qualification to the Vienna grand final and jury favoritism alongside Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse." Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 10.5% via strong melodic pop appeal from its recent national selection. The past week's first semi-final running order reveal positions Finland mid-pack, yet traders prioritize its televote-jury crossover potential amid most national finals now complete, with semis on May 12-14 as the next catalyst.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$68,153,946
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a fusion of rock, classical violin, and dance—dominates trader consensus at 38.9% implied probability following its landslide UMK national final win in early March, scoring nearly triple the runner-up's points and propelling it to unanimous bookie frontrunner status. France's Monroe with "Regarde" surges to 11.3% on heavy betting volume, bolstered by Big Five auto-qualification to the Vienna grand final and jury favoritism alongside Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse." Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 10.5% via strong melodic pop appeal from its recent national selection. The past week's first semi-final running order reveal positions Finland mid-pack, yet traders prioritize its televote-jury crossover potential amid most national finals now complete, with semis on May 12-14 as the next catalyst.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$68,153,946
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

Market icon

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

69%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

90%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 39%, followed by "France" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $68.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.