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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,007,524 Vol.

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,007,524 Vol.

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Finland

$1,824,820 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,376,039 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$889,256 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,151,712 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,280,186 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,201,400 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$923,158 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,490,086 Vol.

2%

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Ukraine

$1,090,220 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$874,706 Vol.

2%

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Cyprus

$1,088,865 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$940,293 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$757,977 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,100,823 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,207,600 Vol.

1%

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Moldova

$1,065,342 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$876,979 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,019,427 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$673,122 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,230,428 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$934,190 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,249,979 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,904,672 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,985,878 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,971,394 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,341,812 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,021,336 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,471,305 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,560,531 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,853,565 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,496 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,732,214 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,230,024 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,876,089 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,054,646 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with "Liekinheitin" at 34.8% implied probability on Polymarket, propelled by the track's infectious chorus, explosive live rehearsals showcasing high-energy "wow" moments, and ideal balance appealing to both jury and televote—echoing past Nordic winners like Sweden's Loreen. France's Monroe trails at 13.2% with "Regarde," buoyed by promises of dramatic, theatrical staging diverging from standard pop entries, while Denmark (10.3%) benefits from strong national selection buzz. Australia's 7.9% reflects consistent fan support amid a fragmented field, but trader consensus highlights Finland's edge in recent prediction models and Semi Final 1 odds ahead of Vienna rehearsals and the May 12-16 showdown at Wiener Stadthalle.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $50 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.