Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 finishers leans toward historical powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and the Big 5 auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK), driven by their consistent televote strength, staging innovation, and national selection track records. With the contest over 18 months away and no host confirmed until the 2025 winner is crowned in Basel's May grand final, markets remain speculative amid low volume. Recent catalysts include Switzerland's host city reveal and early 2025 participant announcements, signaling broader ESC momentum, but no 2026-specific developments have shifted dynamics. Watch late 2025 national finals for breakout acts, as jury-televote splits and geopolitical narratives often decide top placements in this unpredictable song contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$77,659 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

Denmark
76%

France
75%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
71%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
37%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
34%

Malta
31%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Poland
15%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Lithuania
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Montenegro
12%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
10%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
6%
$77,659 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Greece
78%

Denmark
76%

France
75%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
72%

Australia
71%

Italy
63%

Romania
43%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
37%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
34%

Malta
31%

Croatia
25%

Luxembourg
20%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Poland
15%

Serbia
15%

Georgia
13%

Lithuania
13%

Portugal
13%

Belgium
13%

Germany
12%

Montenegro
12%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
10%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 finishers leans toward historical powerhouses like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and the Big 5 auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK), driven by their consistent televote strength, staging innovation, and national selection track records. With the contest over 18 months away and no host confirmed until the 2025 winner is crowned in Basel's May grand final, markets remain speculative amid low volume. Recent catalysts include Switzerland's host city reveal and early 2025 participant announcements, signaling broader ESC momentum, but no 2026-specific developments have shifted dynamics. Watch late 2025 national finals for breakout acts, as jury-televote splits and geopolitical narratives often decide top placements in this unpredictable song contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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