Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,226,989 Vol.
$13,226,989 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,226,989 Vol.
$13,226,989 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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