Market icon

Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,452,399 Vol.

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,452,399 Vol.

<20

$91,488 Vol.

No

20-39

$87,126 Vol.

No

40-59

$25,371 Vol.

No

60-79

$18,162 Vol.

No

80-99

$32,398 Vol.

No

100-119

$20,564 Vol.

No

120-139

$31,966 Vol.

No

140-159

$20,966 Vol.

No

160-179

$24,176 Vol.

No

180-199

$25,944 Vol.

No

200-219

$25,977 Vol.

No

220-239

$35,830 Vol.

No

240-259

$32,701 Vol.

No

260-279

$36,303 Vol.

No

280-299

$75,760 Vol.

No

300-319

$57,618 Vol.

No

320-339

$55,906 Vol.

No

340-359

$36,207 Vol.

No

360-379

$41,113 Vol.

No

380-399

$37,308 Vol.

No

400-419

$50,534 Vol.

No

420-439

$55,281 Vol.

No

440-459

$47,585 Vol.

No

460-479

$30,562 Vol.

No

480-499

$41,978 Vol.

No

500-519

$51,666 Vol.

No

520-539

$66,946 Vol.

No

540-559

$63,931 Vol.

No

560-579

$71,321 Vol.

No

580-599

$69,151 Vol.

No

600-639

$57,426 Vol.

No

640-679

$39,942 Vol.

No

680-719

$63,472 Vol.

No

720-759

$59,589 Vol.

No

760-799

$40,040 Vol.

No

800-839

$46,145 Vol.

No

840-879

$97,844 Vol.

No

880-919

$99,707 Vol.

No

920-959

$102,069 Vol.

No

960-999

$109,674 Vol.

No

1000-1039

$91,239 Vol.

No

1040-1079

$134,427 Vol.

No

1080-1119

$97,018 Vol.

No

1120-1159

$102,003 Vol.

No

1160-1199

$152,133 Vol.

No

1200-1239

$116,355 Vol.

No

1240-1279

$130,209 Vol.

No

1280-1319

$135,758 Vol.

No

1320-1359

$114,363 Vol.

No

1360-1399

$117,590 Vol.

No

1400+

$183,557 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,452,399
End Date
Feb 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 24, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400+" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?" is "1400+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.