Market icon

ECB Interest Rates: March 2025

25 bps decrease 100.0%

50+ bps decrease <1%

No Change <1%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$951,587 Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2025 meeting.

If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for March 5-6, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$951,587
End Date
Mar 6, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2025 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for March 5-6, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Market icon

ECB Interest Rates: March 2025

25 bps decrease 100.0%

50+ bps decrease <1%

No Change <1%

Increase <1%

Polymarket

$951,587 Vol.

50+ bps decrease

$425,550 Vol.

No

25 bps decrease

$112,803 Vol.

Yes

No Change

$114,637 Vol.

No

Increase

$298,597 Vol.

No

About

Volume
$951,587
End Date
Mar 6, 2025
Created At
Jan 30, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Beware of external links.