Market icon

"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$613,053 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Conjuring-The-Last-Rites-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (September 5 - September 7/September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$613,053
End Date
Sep 15, 2025
Created At
Sep 2, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Conjuring-The-Last-Rites-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (September 5 - September 7/September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" has generated $613.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$613,053 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Conjuring-The-Last-Rites-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (September 5 - September 7/September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc.

If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$613,053
End Date
Sep 15, 2025
Created At
Sep 2, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (2025). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "The Conjuring: Last Rites" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Conjuring-The-Last-Rites-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (September 5 - September 7/September 12 - September 14) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by September 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" has generated $613.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for ""Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.