Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) hitting $85 by June 30, reflecting caution amid OPEC+'s decision to extend voluntary production cuts through year-end while signaling a gradual unwind starting October, offsetting recent US inventory builds of 1.8 million barrels last week. Spot CL hovers near $80.50/bbl, pressured by softening Chinese demand and ample global supply, though summer driving season could provide upside. Key watch: Thursday's EIA storage report, where draws exceeding 2 million barrels might catalyze a rally toward $82 resistance; failure risks testing $78 support ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,342,611 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
22%
↑ $140
28%
↑ $130
35%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
59%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
82%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
42%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,342,611 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
22%
↑ $140
28%
↑ $130
35%
↑ $120
43%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
59%
↑ $100
70%
↓ $85
82%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
42%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
7%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 35% implied probability to WTI crude oil (CL) hitting $85 by June 30, reflecting caution amid OPEC+'s decision to extend voluntary production cuts through year-end while signaling a gradual unwind starting October, offsetting recent US inventory builds of 1.8 million barrels last week. Spot CL hovers near $80.50/bbl, pressured by softening Chinese demand and ample global supply, though summer driving season could provide upside. Key watch: Thursday's EIA storage report, where draws exceeding 2 million barrels might catalyze a rally toward $82 resistance; failure risks testing $78 support ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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