OpenAI's ChatGPT has demonstrated robust reliability, logging 99.91% uptime for its large language model services from January to April 2026, with no major outages reported in April and only minor elevated failures on March 31 for Enterprise and Edu workspaces. This stability follows February's widespread disruptions affecting thousands, linked to error rates amid high demand, prompting infrastructure upgrades that traders view as reducing near-term outage risks. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic's Claude, which faced AWS-tied downtime in March, underscore OpenAI's edge in scaling. Watch for potential catalysts like unannounced model updates, traffic surges from new features, or backend deploys, which historically trigger issues in AI platforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$27,513 Vol.
Apr 10, 2026
April 3
10%
April 10
55%
April 17
68%
$27,513 Vol.
April 3
$14,290 Vol.
10%
April 10
$203 Vol.
55%
April 17
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has demonstrated robust reliability, logging 99.91% uptime for its large language model services from January to April 2026, with no major outages reported in April and only minor elevated failures on March 31 for Enterprise and Edu workspaces. This stability follows February's widespread disruptions affecting thousands, linked to error rates amid high demand, prompting infrastructure upgrades that traders view as reducing near-term outage risks. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic's Claude, which faced AWS-tied downtime in March, underscore OpenAI's edge in scaling. Watch for potential catalysts like unannounced model updates, traffic surges from new features, or backend deploys, which historically trigger issues in AI platforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
Volume
$27,513End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has demonstrated robust reliability, logging 99.91% uptime for its large language model services from January to April 2026, with no major outages reported in April and only minor elevated failures on March 31 for Enterprise and Edu workspaces. This stability follows February's widespread disruptions affecting thousands, linked to error rates amid high demand, prompting infrastructure upgrades that traders view as reducing near-term outage risks. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic's Claude, which faced AWS-tied downtime in March, underscore OpenAI's edge in scaling. Watch for potential catalysts like unannounced model updates, traffic surges from new features, or backend deploys, which historically trigger issues in AI platforms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,513End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 4:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has demonstrated robust reliability, logging 99.91% uptime for its large language model services from January to April 2026, with no major outages reported in April and only minor elevated failures on March 31 for Enterprise and Edu workspaces. This stability follows February's widespread disruptions affecting thousands, linked to error rates amid high demand, prompting infrastructure upgrades that traders view as reducing near-term outage risks. Competitive pressures from rivals like Anthropic's Claude, which faced AWS-tied downtime in March, underscore OpenAI's edge in scaling. Watch for potential catalysts like unannounced model updates, traffic surges from new features, or backend deploys, which historically trigger issues in AI platforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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