Market icon

Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?

Market icon

Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$665,684 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$665,684 Vol.

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump's share of voters without a college degree is 55% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters without a college degree this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
Volumen
$665,684
Fecha de finalización
Nov 5, 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 17, 2024, 6:44 PM ET
This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump's share of voters without a college degree is 55% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters without a college degree this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.

This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump's share of voters without a college degree is 55% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters without a college degree this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
Volumen
$665,684
Fecha de finalización
Nov 5, 2024
Mercado abierto
Oct 17, 2024, 6:44 PM ET
This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump's share of voters without a college degree is 55% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters without a college degree this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?" ha generado $665.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 17, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.