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Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

Market icon

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$52,454 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$52,454 Vol.

​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).

If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$52,454
Fecha de finalización
Aug 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).

If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$52,454
Fecha de finalización
Aug 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?" ha generado $52.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.