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Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

Market icon

Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$224,511 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$224,511 Vol.

​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).

If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$224,511
Fecha de finalización
Jul 15, 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 15, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).

If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$224,511
Fecha de finalización
Jul 15, 2025
Mercado abierto
Mar 15, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
​Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between March 8, and June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000). If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by July 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?" has generated $224.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.