Trader consensus heavily favors no direct meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, at 96.4% implied probability on "No," driven by the entrenched deadlock in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations amid incompatible core demands—Russia's insistence on territorial recognitions like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's push for full withdrawal and reparations. No in-person summit has occurred since their 2019 Paris encounter, with recent Kremlin statements emphasizing preconditions and Zelenskyy's rejection of indirect formats without progress. Even potential U.S. mediation under incoming President Trump shows no firm commitments, reinforcing skepticism based on failed Minsk accords precedent. Realistic shifts could stem from a major battlefield reversal, comprehensive ceasefire, or high-level diplomatic breakthrough, though evidence remains scant.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$146,648 Vol.
$146,648 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Sí
$146,648 Vol.
$146,648 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Volumen
$146,648Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$146,648Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no direct meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, at 96.4% implied probability on "No," driven by the entrenched deadlock in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations amid incompatible core demands—Russia's insistence on territorial recognitions like Crimea and Donbas versus Ukraine's push for full withdrawal and reparations. No in-person summit has occurred since their 2019 Paris encounter, with recent Kremlin statements emphasizing preconditions and Zelenskyy's rejection of indirect formats without progress. Even potential U.S. mediation under incoming President Trump shows no firm commitments, reinforcing skepticism based on failed Minsk accords precedent. Realistic shifts could stem from a major battlefield reversal, comprehensive ceasefire, or high-level diplomatic breakthrough, though evidence remains scant.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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