Trader consensus assigns a 94.7% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, driven by irreconcilable demands and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. In recent weeks, Russian forces have advanced in Donetsk amid Ukrainian drone strikes on Black Sea Fleet assets, signaling no de-escalation. Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal as a precondition for talks, while Putin demands recognition of annexed territories, neutrality, and demilitarization—positions reiterated in December statements with no compromise. Absent a diplomatic breakthrough, such as intensified US mediation post-Trump inauguration or multilateral ceasefire pressure, historical absence of direct summits since 2022 reinforces trader skepticism.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$151,883 Vol.
$151,883 Vol.
Sí
$151,883 Vol.
$151,883 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 94.7% implied probability to no meeting between Putin and Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026, driven by irreconcilable demands and persistent military escalation in Ukraine. In recent weeks, Russian forces have advanced in Donetsk amid Ukrainian drone strikes on Black Sea Fleet assets, signaling no de-escalation. Zelenskyy insists on full Russian troop withdrawal as a precondition for talks, while Putin demands recognition of annexed territories, neutrality, and demilitarization—positions reiterated in December statements with no compromise. Absent a diplomatic breakthrough, such as intensified US mediation post-Trump inauguration or multilateral ceasefire pressure, historical absence of direct summits since 2022 reinforces trader skepticism.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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