Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for Israel annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the distinction between recent de facto measures and formal sovereignty claims. In February 2026, Israel's security cabinet approved land registration across Area C—60% of the West Bank—as state property and eased settlement barriers, prompting UN reports on March 17 of accelerated unlawful expansion and condemnation from nearly 20 countries as de facto annexation. Yet, official statements emphasize "de facto sovereignty" without legal annexation, amid persistent U.S. opposition under the Trump administration, prior Netanyahu concessions to diplomatic pressure in 2025, and diversion of focus to Gaza operations and regional threats. Formal steps face high barriers from international backlash and coalition dynamics, with no imminent legislative push signaled.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?
¿Se anexionará Israel el territorio de Cisjordania antes de 2027?
Sí
$49,865 Vol.
$49,865 Vol.
Sí
$49,865 Vol.
$49,865 Vol.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 88.5% for Israel annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the distinction between recent de facto measures and formal sovereignty claims. In February 2026, Israel's security cabinet approved land registration across Area C—60% of the West Bank—as state property and eased settlement barriers, prompting UN reports on March 17 of accelerated unlawful expansion and condemnation from nearly 20 countries as de facto annexation. Yet, official statements emphasize "de facto sovereignty" without legal annexation, amid persistent U.S. opposition under the Trump administration, prior Netanyahu concessions to diplomatic pressure in 2025, and diversion of focus to Gaza operations and regional threats. Formal steps face high barriers from international backlash and coalition dynamics, with no imminent legislative push signaled.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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