Market icon

¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$16,652 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$16,652 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$16,652
Fecha de finalización
Mar 2, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$16,652
Fecha de finalización
Mar 2, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 4, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by March 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "¿Cambiará Cornyn a Paxton por el ganador de la primaria del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" is "¿Cambiará Cornyn a Paxton por el ganador de la primaria del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "¿Cornyn cambiará a Paxton por el ganador de las primarias del Senado de Texas antes del 2 de marzo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.