Mark Rutte leads trader consensus at around 60% implied probability for a March talk, driven by the NATO Secretary General's Fox News statement on March 22 claiming multiple recent phone conversations with President Trump on alliance burdens and Ukraine aid—though lacking White House corroboration or mutual reporting consensus, fueling resolution disputes. Xi Jinping odds sit low at 2-3% despite high $1.2M volume, following U.S. administration claims of China discussions unconfirmed by Beijing's state media, which lists no March call amid postponed Trump-Xi summit to May over Iran war tensions. Other leaders like MBS and Zelenskyy trail below 15%, with no credible reports of interactions; markets await UMA oracle review for final resolutions based on verifiable diplomatic announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,654,402 Vol.
Mark Rutte
19%
Mohammed bin Salman
5%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
3%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
3%
Reza Pahlavi
1%
Xi Jinping
1%
Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Kim Jong Un
<1%
MrBeast
<1%
Papa León XIV
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
$1,654,402 Vol.
Mark Rutte
19%
Mohammed bin Salman
5%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
3%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
3%
Reza Pahlavi
1%
Xi Jinping
1%
Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Kim Jong Un
<1%
MrBeast
<1%
Papa León XIV
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
<1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mark Rutte leads trader consensus at around 60% implied probability for a March talk, driven by the NATO Secretary General's Fox News statement on March 22 claiming multiple recent phone conversations with President Trump on alliance burdens and Ukraine aid—though lacking White House corroboration or mutual reporting consensus, fueling resolution disputes. Xi Jinping odds sit low at 2-3% despite high $1.2M volume, following U.S. administration claims of China discussions unconfirmed by Beijing's state media, which lists no March call amid postponed Trump-Xi summit to May over Iran war tensions. Other leaders like MBS and Zelenskyy trail below 15%, with no credible reports of interactions; markets await UMA oracle review for final resolutions based on verifiable diplomatic announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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