Market icon

¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

Market icon

¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

$778,375 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$778,375 Vol.

Polymarket

Ayatollah / Khamenei

$8,171 Vol.

No

Beckstrom

$14,682 Vol.

Bessent

$18,125 Vol.

No

Bibi / Netanyahu

$13,406 Vol.

No

Charlie Kirk

$43,982 Vol.

Clinton

$12,738 Vol.

No

Elizabeth Warren / Pocahontas

$6,992 Vol.

No

Elon / Musk

$12,353 Vol.

No

Hegseth

$14,012 Vol.

No

Homan

$17,001 Vol.

No

Howard / Lutnick

$11,362 Vol.

No

Kushner

$22,752 Vol.

Karoline / Leavitt

$10,737 Vol.

No

Kash / Patel

$11,243 Vol.

No

Noem

$9,681 Vol.

No

Lincoln

$12,608 Vol.

No

Maduro

$18,016 Vol.

Marco / Rubio

$14,769 Vol.

Monroe

$24,558 Vol.

No

Newsom / Newscum

$19,690 Vol.

No

Obama

$103,547 Vol.

Pam / Bondi

$11,688 Vol.

No

Powell / Demasiado tarde

$9,538 Vol.

No

Presidente Xi

$18,077 Vol.

No

Príncipe Mohammed

$12,918 Vol.

No

Putin

$17,169 Vol.

No

Reagan

$15,552 Vol.

No

Reza / Pahlavi

$8,660 Vol.

No

Schumer

$3,913 Vol.

No

Susie Wiles

$8,570 Vol.

No

Thune

$14,052 Vol.

No

Walz

$8,445 Vol.

No

Witkoff

$33,363 Vol.

Zelenskyy

$12,449 Vol.

No

Zohran / Mamdani

$14,622 Vol.

No

Bush

$7,228 Vol.

No

Biden

$58,518 Vol.

Kavanaugh

$818 Vol.

No

Kevin Warsh

$7,103 Vol.

No

Judy Shelton

$74,897 Vol.

No

Machado

$2,157 Vol.

No

Caine

$2,500 Vol.

No

Dell

$10,084 Vol.

Scalise

$5,627 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$778,375
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beckstrom" at 100%, followed by "Charlie Kirk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" has generated $778.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is "Beckstrom" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charlie Kirk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿A quién nombrará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.