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Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

$1,572,837 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,572,837 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$49,827 Vol.

23%

Kevin Spacey

$26,724 Vol.

17%

Woody Allen

$12,487 Vol.

16%

Steve Bannon

$57,616 Vol.

13%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

11%

Deepak Chopra

$11,319 Vol.

10%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,169 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,688 Vol.

6%

Bill Clinton

$258,074 Vol.

6%

Bill Gates

$97,443 Vol.

6%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

6%

Michael Jackson

$153,503 Vol.

5%

Hillary Clinton

$39,715 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$131,635 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$78,540 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,628 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market hinges on the U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages from the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which named hundreds of prominent individuals in Epstein's communications and orbit but provided no new comprehensive Little St. James visitor logs or confirmations beyond prior flight manifests from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and victim testimonies. A 2024 WIRED investigation tracked nearly 200 mobile phones to the island, verifying some presences like Stephen Hawking's conference visit, while recent fallout includes executive resignations and FBI probes into related emails. Further DOJ phases or congressional hearings could shift probabilities amid partial redactions and evidentiary disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,572,837
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market hinges on the U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages from the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which named hundreds of prominent individuals in Epstein's communications and orbit but provided no new comprehensive Little St. James visitor logs or confirmations beyond prior flight manifests from the Ghislaine Maxwell trial and victim testimonies. A 2024 WIRED investigation tracked nearly 200 mobile phones to the island, verifying some presences like Stephen Hawking's conference visit, while recent fallout includes executive resignations and FBI probes into related emails. Further DOJ phases or congressional hearings could shift probabilities amid partial redactions and evidentiary disputes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,572,837
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Richard Branson" con 23%, seguido de "Kevin Spacey" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" ha generado $1.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es "Richard Branson" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kevin Spacey" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.