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Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?

$1,573,432 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,573,432 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$49,841 Vol.

23%

Woody Allen

$12,510 Vol.

17%

Kevin Spacey

$26,724 Vol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$57,628 Vol.

13%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

11%

Deepak Chopra

$11,324 Vol.

10%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,169 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,688 Vol.

6%

Bill Clinton

$258,074 Vol.

6%

Bill Gates

$97,443 Vol.

6%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$153,508 Vol.

5%

Donald Trump

$131,635 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,789 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$79,002 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,628 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,573,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,573,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Richard Branson" con 23%, seguido de "Woody Allen" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" ha generado $1.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" es "Richard Branson" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Woody Allen" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién visitó la isla de Epstein?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.