US and Israeli forces launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—initiating an ongoing conflict now over a month old, with more than 10,000 US strikes and 600+ Israeli operations degrading Iran's capabilities. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait have conducted missile defense against Iranian retaliatory attacks on their territories and US bases. In the past week, the US delivered a 15-point diplomatic proposal via Pakistan on March 24 to end the war, which Iran is reviewing amid continued airstrikes; no new countries have joined offensive actions in the last 48 hours, though ground operation preparations are reported. Traders watch for any escalation or final strikes before the March 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$10,836,394 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Arabia Saudita
4%
EAU
3%
Qatar
2%
Bahréin
2%
Kuwait
1%
Jordania
1%
Cualquier país de la UE
1%
Reino Unido
1%
Turquía
1%
Francia
1%
Omán
1%
Alemania
<1%
Canadá
<1%
$10,836,394 Vol.
Arabia Saudita
$2,206,771 Vol.
4%
EAU
$2,852,078 Vol.
3%
Qatar
$946,228 Vol.
2%
Bahréin
$392,918 Vol.
2%
Kuwait
$211,655 Vol.
1%
Jordania
$189,690 Vol.
1%
Cualquier país de la UE
$472,065 Vol.
1%
Reino Unido
$948,390 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$481,796 Vol.
1%
Francia
$750,278 Vol.
1%
Omán
$132,073 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$912,746 Vol.
<1%
Canadá
$339,708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—initiating an ongoing conflict now over a month old, with more than 10,000 US strikes and 600+ Israeli operations degrading Iran's capabilities. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait have conducted missile defense against Iranian retaliatory attacks on their territories and US bases. In the past week, the US delivered a 15-point diplomatic proposal via Pakistan on March 24 to end the war, which Iran is reviewing amid continued airstrikes; no new countries have joined offensive actions in the last 48 hours, though ground operation preparations are reported. Traders watch for any escalation or final strikes before the March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$10,836,394Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—initiating an ongoing conflict now over a month old, with more than 10,000 US strikes and 600+ Israeli operations degrading Iran's capabilities. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait have conducted missile defense against Iranian retaliatory attacks on their territories and US bases. In the past week, the US delivered a 15-point diplomatic proposal via Pakistan on March 24 to end the war, which Iran is reviewing amid continued airstrikes; no new countries have joined offensive actions in the last 48 hours, though ground operation preparations are reported. Traders watch for any escalation or final strikes before the March 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,836,394Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces launched major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting ballistic missile sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership—including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—initiating an ongoing conflict now over a month old, with more than 10,000 US strikes and 600+ Israeli operations degrading Iran's capabilities. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait have conducted missile defense against Iranian retaliatory attacks on their territories and US bases. In the past week, the US delivered a 15-point diplomatic proposal via Pakistan on March 24 to end the war, which Iran is reviewing amid continued airstrikes; no new countries have joined offensive actions in the last 48 hours, though ground operation preparations are reported. Traders watch for any escalation or final strikes before the March 31 deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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