Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?

$88,125 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$88,125 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Corea del Norte

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Cuba

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Arabia Saudita

$3,350 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Líbano

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Afganistán

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Irak

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Pakistán

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Siria

$4,318 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Venezuela

$80,022 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Túnez

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Kuwait

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Catar

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Indonesia

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Malasia

$435 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Bangladés

$0 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, mostly Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Oman, and Kuwait amid longstanding Palestinian solidarity and domestic pressures.** Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israeli strikes weakening Tehran reported in early March, have fueled trader optimism for breakthroughs, with Netanyahu stating a diminished Iran could enable Saudi normalization and Senator Lindsey Graham pledging US efforts for Saudi-Israel ties post-conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, building on Abraham Accords expansions discussed since late 2025. Key factors ahead of June 30 include US diplomatic pushes under Trump, Iran war outcomes, Gulf state security incentives against Iran proxies, and bilateral talks, though constitutional hurdles and public opinion pose barriers for leading candidates.

**Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, mostly Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Oman, and Kuwait amid longstanding Palestinian solidarity and domestic pressures.** Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israeli strikes weakening Tehran reported in early March, have fueled trader optimism for breakthroughs, with Netanyahu stating a diminished Iran could enable Saudi normalization and Senator Lindsey Graham pledging US efforts for Saudi-Israel ties post-conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, building on Abraham Accords expansions discussed since late 2025. Key factors ahead of June 30 include US diplomatic pushes under Trump, Iran war outcomes, Gulf state security incentives against Iran proxies, and bilateral talks, though constitutional hurdles and public opinion pose barriers for leading candidates.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, mostly Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Oman, and Kuwait amid longstanding Palestinian solidarity and domestic pressures.** Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israeli strikes weakening Tehran reported in early March, have fueled trader optimism for breakthroughs, with Netanyahu stating a diminished Iran could enable Saudi normalization and Senator Lindsey Graham pledging US efforts for Saudi-Israel ties post-conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, building on Abraham Accords expansions discussed since late 2025. Key factors ahead of June 30 include US diplomatic pushes under Trump, Iran war outcomes, Gulf state security incentives against Iran proxies, and bilateral talks, though constitutional hurdles and public opinion pose barriers for leading candidates.

**Israel enjoys diplomatic recognition from 163 of 192 UN member states as of early 2026, leaving around 28 holdouts, mostly Muslim-majority nations like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Oman, and Kuwait amid longstanding Palestinian solidarity and domestic pressures.** Recent Israel-Iran escalations, including Israeli strikes weakening Tehran reported in early March, have fueled trader optimism for breakthroughs, with Netanyahu stating a diminished Iran could enable Saudi normalization and Senator Lindsey Graham pledging US efforts for Saudi-Israel ties post-conflict. No new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, building on Abraham Accords expansions discussed since late 2025. Key factors ahead of June 30 include US diplomatic pushes under Trump, Iran war outcomes, Gulf state security incentives against Iran proxies, and bilateral talks, though constitutional hurdles and public opinion pose barriers for leading candidates.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Túnez" con 11%, seguido de "Arabia Saudita" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 11¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $88.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" es "Túnez" con 11%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 11% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arabia Saudita" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.