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Elecciones·Recompensas 20, 4.5, 50

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Market icon
Elecciones·Recompensas 20, 4.5, 50

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Other 46.5%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%

Fujimori & Nieto 5.5%

Polymarket

$146,009 Vol.

Other 46.5%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%

Fujimori & Nieto 5.5%

Polymarket

$146,009 Vol.

Other

$7,382 Vol.

46%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$21,112 Vol.

33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$8,014 Vol.

10%

Fujimori & Nieto

$60,095 Vol.

6%

López Chau & Fujimori

$38,373 Vol.

5%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$2,674 Vol.

2%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$2,948 Vol.

2%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$2,539 Vol.

1%

López Chau & Nieto

$1,628 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$1,245 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 45.8% implied probability for Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential vote due to a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates and 15-25% undecided voters in recent polls, leaving room for third-place contenders to disrupt the top two. Right-wing leaders Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) and Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) consistently top Ipsos, Datum, and IEP surveys from late March through early April at 8-13%, positioning their advancement at 33%, but rising support for Alfonso López Chau (Ahora Nación), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), Jorge Nieto (Partido del Buen Gobierno), and Carlos Álvarez (País para Todos)—tied or near 5-8%—fuels uncertainty. Final debates and regional turnout could tip the balance ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$146,009
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 45.8% implied probability for Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential vote due to a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates and 15-25% undecided voters in recent polls, leaving room for third-place contenders to disrupt the top two. Right-wing leaders Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) and Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) consistently top Ipsos, Datum, and IEP surveys from late March through early April at 8-13%, positioning their advancement at 33%, but rising support for Alfonso López Chau (Ahora Nación), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), Jorge Nieto (Partido del Buen Gobierno), and Carlos Álvarez (País para Todos)—tied or near 5-8%—fuels uncertainty. Final debates and regional turnout could tip the balance ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volumen
$146,009
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Other" con 46%, seguido de "López Aliaga & Fujimori" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" ha generado $146K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" es "Other" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "López Aliaga & Fujimori" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.