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What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Market icon

What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?

America / American 100.0%

Iran 3.6%

Beautiful 1.0%

Crypto / Bitcoin <1%

Polymarket

$127,771 Vol.

America / American 100.0%

Iran 3.6%

Beautiful 1.0%

Crypto / Bitcoin <1%

Polymarket

$127,771 Vol.

America / American

$19,226 Vol.

Yes

Biden

$7,421 Vol.

No

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$10,688 Vol.

No

Iran

$7,654 Vol.

No

Beautiful

$8,073 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$31,618 Vol.

No

Stupid / Low IQ

$7,717 Vol.

No

Ninguno

$35,373 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve according to the first listed term Donald Trump says during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None".

If Donald Trump does not say any listed term during the event, this market will resolve to "None".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$127,771
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve according to the first listed term Donald Trump says during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None". If Donald Trump does not say any listed term during the event, this market will resolve to "None". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "America / American" con 100%, seguido de "Biden" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?" ha generado $127.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 18, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?" es "America / American" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Biden" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.