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¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

Market icon

¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

$715,522 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$715,522 Vol.

Polymarket

Afganistán

$10,663 Vol.

Arizona

$5,921 Vol.

No

California

$20,491 Vol.

Canadá

$19,226 Vol.

No

Chicago

$6,890 Vol.

No

China

$71,229 Vol.

No

Colombia

$8,885 Vol.

No

Congo

$16,702 Vol.

Cuba

$16,480 Vol.

No

El Salvador

$7,646 Vol.

No

Europa / Europeo

$11,715 Vol.

Georgia

$13,601 Vol.

No

Groenlandia

$27,790 Vol.

No

Golfo de América

$20,772 Vol.

No

India

$13,400 Vol.

Irán

$46,692 Vol.

Japón

$20,567 Vol.

No

Los Ángeles

$10,720 Vol.

Memphis

$16,238 Vol.

México

$24,554 Vol.

Michigan

$12,972 Vol.

Minnesota

$26,763 Vol.

Mount McKinley

$10,205 Vol.

No

Nueva Orleans

$11,074 Vol.

Nueva York

$6,764 Vol.

Nigeria

$2,580 Vol.

No

Carolina del Norte

$18,768 Vol.

Panamá

$8,423 Vol.

No

Pensilvania

$17,680 Vol.

Portland

$6,836 Vol.

No

Rusia

$17,291 Vol.

Ucrania

$34,771 Vol.

Washington DC / DC

$7,178 Vol.

Hemisferio Occidental

$23,912 Vol.

Casa Blanca

$15,424 Vol.

Siria

$4,040 Vol.

No

Texas

$6,113 Vol.

Somalia

$32,964 Vol.

No

Sudamérica / América Latina

$5,496 Vol.

No

Taiwán

$10,272 Vol.

No

Venezuela

$22,223 Vol.

Virginia Occidental

$876 Vol.

Noruega

$8,945 Vol.

No

Suiza

$1,436 Vol.

No

Etiopía

$9,503 Vol.

Iowa

$2,829 Vol.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$715,522
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Afganistán" at 100%, followed by "California" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" has generated $715.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" is "Afganistán" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "California" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Qué lugares mencionará Trump durante el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.