Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's leftward shift in recent cycles—Donald Trump won by just +5 points in 2024, down from prior margins, while Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried it by 2.5 points in 2025—prompting Cook Political Report to downgrade from Likely Republican to Lean Republican for incumbent Rob Wittman. Strong Democratic challengers, led by well-funded Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($766,000 raised, $481,000 cash on hand), crowd the August 4 primary amid historical midterm losses for the president's party. Early voting for the April 21 redistricting referendum shows high GOP turnout opposing map changes that could further competitive the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoVA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,972 Vol.
$12,972 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
65%
Partido Republicano
32%
$12,972 Vol.
$12,972 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$12,675 Vol.
65%
Partido Republicano
$297 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's leftward shift in recent cycles—Donald Trump won by just +5 points in 2024, down from prior margins, while Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried it by 2.5 points in 2025—prompting Cook Political Report to downgrade from Likely Republican to Lean Republican for incumbent Rob Wittman. Strong Democratic challengers, led by well-funded Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($766,000 raised, $481,000 cash on hand), crowd the August 4 primary amid historical midterm losses for the president's party. Early voting for the April 21 redistricting referendum shows high GOP turnout opposing map changes that could further competitive the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$12,972Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's leftward shift in recent cycles—Donald Trump won by just +5 points in 2024, down from prior margins, while Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried it by 2.5 points in 2025—prompting Cook Political Report to downgrade from Likely Republican to Lean Republican for incumbent Rob Wittman. Strong Democratic challengers, led by well-funded Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($766,000 raised, $481,000 cash on hand), crowd the August 4 primary amid historical midterm losses for the president's party. Early voting for the April 21 redistricting referendum shows high GOP turnout opposing map changes that could further competitive the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,972Fecha de finalización
Nov 4, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 67% to win Virginia's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's leftward shift in recent cycles—Donald Trump won by just +5 points in 2024, down from prior margins, while Gov. Abigail Spanberger carried it by 2.5 points in 2025—prompting Cook Political Report to downgrade from Likely Republican to Lean Republican for incumbent Rob Wittman. Strong Democratic challengers, led by well-funded Henrico prosecutor Shannon Taylor ($766,000 raised, $481,000 cash on hand), crowd the August 4 primary amid historical midterm losses for the president's party. Early voting for the April 21 redistricting referendum shows high GOP turnout opposing map changes that could further competitive the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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