US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 68%
February 28 2.6%
February 7 2.4%
February 6 2.2%
$3,037,561 Vol.
$3,037,561 Vol.
January 2026
$177,665 Vol.
<1%
January 2026
$177,665 Vol.
<1%
February 1
$658,734 Vol.
<1%
February 1
$658,734 Vol.
<1%
February 2
$141,479 Vol.
1%
February 2
$141,479 Vol.
1%
February 3
$120,079 Vol.
2%
February 3
$120,079 Vol.
2%
February 4
$101,661 Vol.
2%
February 4
$101,661 Vol.
2%
February 5
$88,454 Vol.
2%
February 5
$88,454 Vol.
2%
February 6
$89,097 Vol.
2%
February 6
$89,097 Vol.
2%
February 7
$65,494 Vol.
2%
February 7
$65,494 Vol.
2%
February 8
$72,109 Vol.
1%
February 8
$72,109 Vol.
1%
February 9
$60,719 Vol.
1%
February 9
$60,719 Vol.
1%
February 10
$60,040 Vol.
1%
February 10
$60,040 Vol.
1%
February 11
$56,789 Vol.
1%
February 11
$56,789 Vol.
1%
February 12
$56,025 Vol.
2%
February 12
$56,025 Vol.
2%
February 13
$58,382 Vol.
2%
February 13
$58,382 Vol.
2%
February 14
$71,065 Vol.
2%
February 14
$71,065 Vol.
2%
February 15
$74,589 Vol.
1%
February 15
$74,589 Vol.
1%
February 16
$67,108 Vol.
1%
February 16
$67,108 Vol.
1%
February 17
$76,308 Vol.
1%
February 17
$76,308 Vol.
1%
February 18
$71,116 Vol.
1%
February 18
$71,116 Vol.
1%
February 19
$75,927 Vol.
1%
February 19
$75,927 Vol.
1%
February 20
$60,090 Vol.
1%
February 20
$60,090 Vol.
1%
February 21
$65,741 Vol.
2%
February 21
$65,741 Vol.
2%
February 22
$76,262 Vol.
1%
February 22
$76,262 Vol.
1%
February 23
$74,062 Vol.
1%
February 23
$74,062 Vol.
1%
February 24
$72,357 Vol.
1%
February 24
$72,357 Vol.
1%
February 25
$77,808 Vol.
1%
February 25
$77,808 Vol.
1%
February 26
$85,825 Vol.
1%
February 26
$85,825 Vol.
1%
February 27
$82,334 Vol.
2%
February 27
$82,334 Vol.
2%
February 28
$91,430 Vol.
3%
February 28
$91,430 Vol.
3%
No strike by February 28
$108,810 Vol.
68%
No strike by February 28
$108,810 Vol.
68%
Reglas
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 68%
February 28 2.6%
February 7 2.4%
February 6 2.2%
$3,037,561 Vol.
$3,037,561 Vol.
January 2026
<1%
February 1
<1%
February 2
1%
February 3
2%
February 4
2%
February 5
2%
February 6
2%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
2%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
3%
No strike by February 28
68%
Acerca de
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.