US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, executing a targeted raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions and a prior Caribbean military buildup, prompting an interim government transition in Caracas. Trader sentiment now hinges on prospects for re-entry to oversee stabilization against pro-Maduro militia threats like colectivos, following President Trump's mid-March order for direct military coordination via Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Unconfirmed reports cite US advisors and Southern Command aircraft near Venezuelan shores, but lawmakers stress no major ground troops expected. The US embassy's March 30 reopening signals warming ties, while unresolved security and political timelines could drive further deployments before June deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,257,044 Vol.
31 ene 2026
31 de marzo
1%
30 de junio
14%
$1,257,044 Vol.
31 de marzo
$3,486 Vol.
1%
30 de junio
$173,469 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, executing a targeted raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions and a prior Caribbean military buildup, prompting an interim government transition in Caracas. Trader sentiment now hinges on prospects for re-entry to oversee stabilization against pro-Maduro militia threats like colectivos, following President Trump's mid-March order for direct military coordination via Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Unconfirmed reports cite US advisors and Southern Command aircraft near Venezuelan shores, but lawmakers stress no major ground troops expected. The US embassy's March 30 reopening signals warming ties, while unresolved security and political timelines could drive further deployments before June deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,257,044Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, executing a targeted raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions and a prior Caribbean military buildup, prompting an interim government transition in Caracas. Trader sentiment now hinges on prospects for re-entry to oversee stabilization against pro-Maduro militia threats like colectivos, following President Trump's mid-March order for direct military coordination via Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Unconfirmed reports cite US advisors and Southern Command aircraft near Venezuelan shores, but lawmakers stress no major ground troops expected. The US embassy's March 30 reopening signals warming ties, while unresolved security and political timelines could drive further deployments before June deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,257,044Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, executing a targeted raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions and a prior Caribbean military buildup, prompting an interim government transition in Caracas. Trader sentiment now hinges on prospects for re-entry to oversee stabilization against pro-Maduro militia threats like colectivos, following President Trump's mid-March order for direct military coordination via Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Unconfirmed reports cite US advisors and Southern Command aircraft near Venezuelan shores, but lawmakers stress no major ground troops expected. The US embassy's March 30 reopening signals warming ties, while unresolved security and political timelines could drive further deployments before June deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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