US special forces conducted a high-risk rescue operation inside Iranian territory following the downing of a US F-15 fighter jet over Iran on April 4, marking the first confirmed ground entry amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war that began with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, and leadership. A second US combat plane was struck on April 3, heightening escalation risks as Pentagon reports indicate preparations for limited ground operations, including potential raids on Kharg Island, while thousands of US troops deploy to the Middle East. President Trump stated core objectives near completion despite Iranian missile barrages, naval sinkings, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over full-scale invasion versus de-escalation amid active combat search-and-rescue missions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Las fuerzas estadounidenses entran en Irán por...?
¿Las fuerzas estadounidenses entran en Irán por...?
$121,166,433 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de marzo
<1%
30 de abril
99%
31 de diciembre
100%
$121,166,433 Vol.
31 de marzo
$73,716,631 Vol.
<1%
30 de abril
$34,876,457 Vol.
99%
31 de diciembre
$11,527,759 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US special forces conducted a high-risk rescue operation inside Iranian territory following the downing of a US F-15 fighter jet over Iran on April 4, marking the first confirmed ground entry amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war that began with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, and leadership. A second US combat plane was struck on April 3, heightening escalation risks as Pentagon reports indicate preparations for limited ground operations, including potential raids on Kharg Island, while thousands of US troops deploy to the Middle East. President Trump stated core objectives near completion despite Iranian missile barrages, naval sinkings, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over full-scale invasion versus de-escalation amid active combat search-and-rescue missions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volumen
$121,166,433Mercado abierto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Revisión final
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US special forces conducted a high-risk rescue operation inside Iranian territory following the downing of a US F-15 fighter jet over Iran on April 4, marking the first confirmed ground entry amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war that began with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, and leadership. A second US combat plane was struck on April 3, heightening escalation risks as Pentagon reports indicate preparations for limited ground operations, including potential raids on Kharg Island, while thousands of US troops deploy to the Middle East. President Trump stated core objectives near completion despite Iranian missile barrages, naval sinkings, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over full-scale invasion versus de-escalation amid active combat search-and-rescue missions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$121,166,433Mercado abierto
Jan 11, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Revisión final
US special forces conducted a high-risk rescue operation inside Iranian territory following the downing of a US F-15 fighter jet over Iran on April 4, marking the first confirmed ground entry amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war that began with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, air defenses, and leadership. A second US combat plane was struck on April 3, heightening escalation risks as Pentagon reports indicate preparations for limited ground operations, including potential raids on Kharg Island, while thousands of US troops deploy to the Middle East. President Trump stated core objectives near completion despite Iranian missile barrages, naval sinkings, and Strait of Hormuz threats, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over full-scale invasion versus de-escalation amid active combat search-and-rescue missions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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