The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad remains operational under an ordered departure status for non-essential personnel, following partial evacuations ordered in early March 2026 amid heightened threats from Iran-aligned terrorist militias. A security alert on April 20 warned of continued plotting by these groups against U.S. targets, building on attacks against diplomatic outposts on April 5 and imminent strike warnings issued April 2. No full evacuation has been announced despite repeated calls for American citizens to leave Iraq immediately, reflecting trader focus on escalation risks in the U.S.-Iran regional tensions. Upcoming militia actions or diplomatic breakthroughs could prompt further drawdowns before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$421,362 Vol.
28 feb 2026
30 de abril
6%
$421,362 Vol.
30 de abril
$27,382 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad remains operational under an ordered departure status for non-essential personnel, following partial evacuations ordered in early March 2026 amid heightened threats from Iran-aligned terrorist militias. A security alert on April 20 warned of continued plotting by these groups against U.S. targets, building on attacks against diplomatic outposts on April 5 and imminent strike warnings issued April 2. No full evacuation has been announced despite repeated calls for American citizens to leave Iraq immediately, reflecting trader focus on escalation risks in the U.S.-Iran regional tensions. Upcoming militia actions or diplomatic breakthroughs could prompt further drawdowns before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volumen
$421,362Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad remains operational under an ordered departure status for non-essential personnel, following partial evacuations ordered in early March 2026 amid heightened threats from Iran-aligned terrorist militias. A security alert on April 20 warned of continued plotting by these groups against U.S. targets, building on attacks against diplomatic outposts on April 5 and imminent strike warnings issued April 2. No full evacuation has been announced despite repeated calls for American citizens to leave Iraq immediately, reflecting trader focus on escalation risks in the U.S.-Iran regional tensions. Upcoming militia actions or diplomatic breakthroughs could prompt further drawdowns before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volumen
$421,362Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The U.S. Embassy in Baghdad remains operational under an ordered departure status for non-essential personnel, following partial evacuations ordered in early March 2026 amid heightened threats from Iran-aligned terrorist militias. A security alert on April 20 warned of continued plotting by these groups against U.S. targets, building on attacks against diplomatic outposts on April 5 and imminent strike warnings issued April 2. No full evacuation has been announced despite repeated calls for American citizens to leave Iraq immediately, reflecting trader focus on escalation risks in the U.S.-Iran regional tensions. Upcoming militia actions or diplomatic breakthroughs could prompt further drawdowns before any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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