JD Vance holds a slim edge over Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his vice presidential role under President Trump and strong alignment with the GOP base, while Newsom's California governorship and national fundraising position him as the leading Democrat amid a fragmented field post-Harris. Marco Rubio trails closely as a Senate veteran and Trump ally. The tight race reflects the three-year horizon before primaries, with uncertainties from 2026 midterms, economic performance, state-level results, and potential endorsements keeping odds fluid. Separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, Trump's successor picks, or shifts in voter turnout patterns seen in 2024.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
JD Vance 19.7%
Gavin Newsom 18.1%
Marco Rubio 11.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,659,548 Vol.
$435,659,548 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.7%
Gavin Newsom 18.1%
Marco Rubio 11.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,659,548 Vol.
$435,659,548 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance holds a slim edge over Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his vice presidential role under President Trump and strong alignment with the GOP base, while Newsom's California governorship and national fundraising position him as the leading Democrat amid a fragmented field post-Harris. Marco Rubio trails closely as a Senate veteran and Trump ally. The tight race reflects the three-year horizon before primaries, with uncertainties from 2026 midterms, economic performance, state-level results, and potential endorsements keeping odds fluid. Separation could emerge from midterm outcomes, Trump's successor picks, or shifts in voter turnout patterns seen in 2024.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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