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Clima Y Ciencia·Clima

¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?

Market icon
Clima Y Ciencia·Clima

¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

3-4" 74%

4-5" 24%

5-6" <1%

>6" <1%

Polymarket

$155,217 Vol.

3-4" 74%

4-5" 24%

5-6" <1%

>6" <1%

Polymarket

$155,217 Vol.

<2"

$28,917 Vol.

<1%

2-3"

$10,722 Vol.

<1%

3-4"

$26,627 Vol.

74%

4-5"

$25,292 Vol.

24%

5-6"

$16,775 Vol.

1%

>6"

$46,884 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Central Park gauge shows New York City accumulating 3.16 inches of precipitation through late March 2026, 74% of the monthly normal of 4.29 inches, driven by intermittent rain events including 1.39 inches on March 5 and 0.41 inches on March 23, with lighter amounts in recent days like 0.02 inches on March 27. Current NOAA forecast models indicate mostly sunny conditions March 28-29, with only 30% chances of showers March 30-31 and negligible expected totals, anchoring trader consensus at 74% implied probability for 3-4 inches total. This reflects low intensification risk from steering patterns and high-pressure dominance, though minor forecast shifts could nudge toward 4-5 inches; monitor daily NWS updates for resolution.

Official National Weather Service data from the Central Park gauge shows New York City accumulating 3.16 inches of precipitation through late March 2026, 74% of the monthly normal of 4.29 inches, driven by intermittent rain events including 1.39 inches on March 5 and 0.41 inches on March 23, with lighter amounts in recent days like 0.02 inches on March 27. Current NOAA forecast models indicate mostly sunny conditions March 28-29, with only 30% chances of showers March 30-31 and negligible expected totals, anchoring trader consensus at 74% implied probability for 3-4 inches total. This reflects low intensification risk from steering patterns and high-pressure dominance, though minor forecast shifts could nudge toward 4-5 inches; monitor daily NWS updates for resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Central Park gauge shows New York City accumulating 3.16 inches of precipitation through late March 2026, 74% of the monthly normal of 4.29 inches, driven by intermittent rain events including 1.39 inches on March 5 and 0.41 inches on March 23, with lighter amounts in recent days like 0.02 inches on March 27. Current NOAA forecast models indicate mostly sunny conditions March 28-29, with only 30% chances of showers March 30-31 and negligible expected totals, anchoring trader consensus at 74% implied probability for 3-4 inches total. This reflects low intensification risk from steering patterns and high-pressure dominance, though minor forecast shifts could nudge toward 4-5 inches; monitor daily NWS updates for resolution.

Official National Weather Service data from the Central Park gauge shows New York City accumulating 3.16 inches of precipitation through late March 2026, 74% of the monthly normal of 4.29 inches, driven by intermittent rain events including 1.39 inches on March 5 and 0.41 inches on March 23, with lighter amounts in recent days like 0.02 inches on March 27. Current NOAA forecast models indicate mostly sunny conditions March 28-29, with only 30% chances of showers March 30-31 and negligible expected totals, anchoring trader consensus at 74% implied probability for 3-4 inches total. This reflects low intensification risk from steering patterns and high-pressure dominance, though minor forecast shifts could nudge toward 4-5 inches; monitor daily NWS updates for resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "3-4"" con 74%, seguido de "4-5"" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?" ha generado $155.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?" es "3-4"" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "4-5"" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.