Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by achievements like historic homicide reductions, school district local control restoration, police reforms ending federal oversight, and affordable housing expansions. His April 1 State of the City address at NJPAC reinforced these gains to a receptive crowd of 1,500, bolstering support ahead of the April 21 voter registration deadline. Challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—remain minor figures with fragmented support; past efforts like Montague's 2022 loss (83%-17%) and others' weak council or primary showings underscore barriers absent strong fundraising or polling. A runoff looms June 9 only if no candidate exceeds 50%, but Baraka's path appears clear barring surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
$10,630 Vol.
$10,630 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
$10,630 Vol.
$10,630 Vol.
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88% trader consensus in the May 12 nonpartisan Newark mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by achievements like historic homicide reductions, school district local control restoration, police reforms ending federal oversight, and affordable housing expansions. His April 1 State of the City address at NJPAC reinforced these gains to a receptive crowd of 1,500, bolstering support ahead of the April 21 voter registration deadline. Challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—remain minor figures with fragmented support; past efforts like Montague's 2022 loss (83%-17%) and others' weak council or primary showings underscore barriers absent strong fundraising or polling. A runoff looms June 9 only if no candidate exceeds 50%, but Baraka's path appears clear barring surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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