Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, who won the seat in 2024 with 61.3 percent of the vote, faces only minor primary opposition while Democrats field multiple candidates in their August 4 primary ahead of the November general election. This structural advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure explain the pronounced market consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican candidate, though neither appears likely based on current district dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Demócrata
10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$67 Vol.
91%
Partido Demócrata
$5,653 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, who won the seat in 2024 with 61.3 percent of the vote, faces only minor primary opposition while Democrats field multiple candidates in their August 4 primary ahead of the November general election. This structural advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure explain the pronounced market consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican candidate, though neither appears likely based on current district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$5,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, who won the seat in 2024 with 61.3 percent of the vote, faces only minor primary opposition while Democrats field multiple candidates in their August 4 primary ahead of the November general election. This structural advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure explain the pronounced market consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican candidate, though neither appears likely based on current district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,720Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Republican Bob Onder, who won the seat in 2024 with 61.3 percent of the vote, faces only minor primary opposition while Democrats field multiple candidates in their August 4 primary ahead of the November general election. This structural advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure explain the pronounced market consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen scandal affecting the Republican candidate, though neither appears likely based on current district dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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