Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability to hold Kansas's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the entrenched incumbency advantage of Rep. Sharice Davids, who secured reelection in 2024 with 53% amid minimal Republican investment and a novice GOP opponent. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this dynamic, with Davids listed in the August 4 Democratic primary alongside challenger Sarah Preu, while Republicans field Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, citing Davids' string of victories in the Johnson County suburban battleground; potential wildcards include GOP redistricting efforts—deemed unlikely—or a high-profile Republican recruit before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
87%
Partido Republicano
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
87%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability to hold Kansas's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the entrenched incumbency advantage of Rep. Sharice Davids, who secured reelection in 2024 with 53% amid minimal Republican investment and a novice GOP opponent. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this dynamic, with Davids listed in the August 4 Democratic primary alongside challenger Sarah Preu, while Republicans field Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, citing Davids' string of victories in the Johnson County suburban battleground; potential wildcards include GOP redistricting efforts—deemed unlikely—or a high-profile Republican recruit before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability to hold Kansas's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the entrenched incumbency advantage of Rep. Sharice Davids, who secured reelection in 2024 with 53% amid minimal Republican investment and a novice GOP opponent. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this dynamic, with Davids listed in the August 4 Democratic primary alongside challenger Sarah Preu, while Republicans field Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, citing Davids' string of victories in the Johnson County suburban battleground; potential wildcards include GOP redistricting efforts—deemed unlikely—or a high-profile Republican recruit before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability to hold Kansas's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the entrenched incumbency advantage of Rep. Sharice Davids, who secured reelection in 2024 with 53% amid minimal Republican investment and a novice GOP opponent. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this dynamic, with Davids listed in the August 4 Democratic primary alongside challenger Sarah Preu, while Republicans field Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, citing Davids' string of victories in the Johnson County suburban battleground; potential wildcards include GOP redistricting efforts—deemed unlikely—or a high-profile Republican recruit before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes