Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 Vol.

Jun 25, 2025

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,781,618
Fecha de finalización
Jun 20, 2025
Creado en
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 Vol.

Saturday, June 14

$141,967 Vol.

Yes

Sunday, June 15

$337,124 Vol.

Yes

Monday, June 16

$393,495 Vol.

Yes

Tuesday, June 17

$562,119 Vol.

Yes

Wednesday, June 18

$499,640 Vol.

Yes

Thursday, June 19

$607,994 Vol.

Yes

Friday, June 20

$425,779 Vol.

Yes

Saturday, June 21

$216,841 Vol.

Yes

Sunday, June 22

$3,651,331 Vol.

Yes

Monday, June 23

$266,010 Vol.

Yes

Tuesday, June 24

$2,042,695 Vol.

Yes

Wednesday, June 25

$486,483 Vol.

No

Thursday, June 26

$266,337 Vol.

No

Friday, June 27

$298,283 Vol.

No

Saturday, June 28

$149,397 Vol.

No

Sunday, June 29

$163,268 Vol.

No

Monday, June 30

$272,854 Vol.

No

Acerca de

Volumen
$10,781,618
Fecha de finalización
Jun 20, 2025
Creado en
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.