Iran imposed severe nationwide internet restrictions on June 13 amid escalating military tensions with Israel, following Israeli airstrikes on Iranian radar and nuclear sites and Tehran's subsequent drone and missile barrage toward Israel. Connectivity has plummeted to historic lows around 3-5% of normal levels, the most restrictive since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, as authorities cite cybersecurity threats and information control needs. Restoration hinges on de-escalation signals, such as diplomatic talks via Oman or Qatar, ceasefire announcements, or reduced hostilities, with no official timeline provided. Traders monitor daily state media updates, satellite data on access levels, and U.S.-led multilateral diplomacy for catalysts that could prompt lifting restrictions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿El acceso a Internet ha sido restaurado en Irán por...?
¿El acceso a Internet ha sido restaurado en Irán por...?
$88,884 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
31 de marzo
2%
30 de abril
22%
$88,884 Vol.
31 de marzo
$40,697 Vol.
2%
30 de abril
$48,187 Vol.
22%
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred must recover to at least 50% of the maximum recorded value for six consecutive hourly data points in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks. The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. Only the first of the six consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.Iran imposed severe nationwide internet restrictions on June 13 amid escalating military tensions with Israel, following Israeli airstrikes on Iranian radar and nuclear sites and Tehran's subsequent drone and missile barrage toward Israel. Connectivity has plummeted to historic lows around 3-5% of normal levels, the most restrictive since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, as authorities cite cybersecurity threats and information control needs. Restoration hinges on de-escalation signals, such as diplomatic talks via Oman or Qatar, ceasefire announcements, or reduced hostilities, with no official timeline provided. Traders monitor daily state media updates, satellite data on access levels, and U.S.-led multilateral diplomacy for catalysts that could prompt lifting restrictions.
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volumen
$88,884Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred must recover to at least 50% of the maximum recorded value for six consecutive hourly data points in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks. The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. Only the first of the six consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.Iran imposed severe nationwide internet restrictions on June 13 amid escalating military tensions with Israel, following Israeli airstrikes on Iranian radar and nuclear sites and Tehran's subsequent drone and missile barrage toward Israel. Connectivity has plummeted to historic lows around 3-5% of normal levels, the most restrictive since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, as authorities cite cybersecurity threats and information control needs. Restoration hinges on de-escalation signals, such as diplomatic talks via Oman or Qatar, ceasefire announcements, or reduced hostilities, with no official timeline provided. Traders monitor daily state media updates, satellite data on access levels, and U.S.-led multilateral diplomacy for catalysts that could prompt lifting restrictions.
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
Volumen
$88,884Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran imposed severe nationwide internet restrictions on June 13 amid escalating military tensions with Israel, following Israeli airstrikes on Iranian radar and nuclear sites and Tehran's subsequent drone and missile barrage toward Israel. Connectivity has plummeted to historic lows around 3-5% of normal levels, the most restrictive since the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests, as authorities cite cybersecurity threats and information control needs. Restoration hinges on de-escalation signals, such as diplomatic talks via Oman or Qatar, ceasefire announcements, or reduced hostilities, with no official timeline provided. Traders monitor daily state media updates, satellite data on access levels, and U.S.-led multilateral diplomacy for catalysts that could prompt lifting restrictions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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